If you're not getting better, you're getting worse
With above motto today we are starting a new category of posts “Annual report Reviews”
An annual review is a perfect exercise as
most companies produce a look back report (called annual report) with details once in a year
it gives enough gap for business to progress on stated objective thus helping investor to observe business’s Moat (whether it is expanding or contracting)
it helps us answer many of our question we get while are reviewing quarterly results – e.g. where is business putting capex, it the product portfolio or customer mix is changing
Finally I bet if your write these reviews for 5 business for 5 continuous years than you will expand your understanding of business and the key metrics that drive the business
And what better company than GRUH finance limited to start this exercise
Some companies produce outstanding annual reports and GRUH is definitely part of that tribe.
To get a good grasp of GRUH’s business read this post and come back
Let’s start
First the core numbers,
Disbursements still remains a small percentage of total number of household in India and average ticket size has gone down
GRUH disbursed home loans to 33,625 families and the average home loan to individuals was ` 8.39 lacs during the year as against ` 7.64 lacs during the previous year
The average ticket size still small with 50% loans sanctioned less than INR 300,000 and average age of borrower is ~ 36 years
Mode of operations still remains via paid referrals through associates
61% of total disbursements made during the year and GRUH paid referral fees
Expanding its geographical reach by entry in a new state Uttar Pradesh
GRUH established 12 new offices, including its first office in Uttar Pradesh
The company does a great job of providing 10 year snap shot wish more companies do it
The record is exemplary with tremendous growth in almost each parameter
Loan disbursements ,PAT and Operating profit have nearly gone 10X
Ratios
NIM has been retained at good level irrespective of fluctuating interest rates and the return on assets has been excellent
When numbers are so good obviously the shareholder returns are excellent
I will throw in another table before I move on, See how market has rewarded GRUH with excellent returns in last few years
Moving on main business remains same with growth intact
Still maximum loans given to individuals even the developer’s loans are selective..
Loan asset growth was good at 27% last year..
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The borrowing pattern had a good mix of short term and long term sources, however principal reliance is still on NHB refinance and bank loans..
One of the principal risks for any financial institution is asset liability maturity mismatch
Short term sources are funding long term uses telling me GRUH is expecting interest rates to go down , without a mix of variable and fix interest break up on loans I can comment whether it will impact them if interest rates go ups
The NIM has been well maintained over last few years any improvement would substantially improve overall profitability on an increasing asset base…
Yield has been maintained at decent levels as well….
The average yield realised on the loan assets during the year was 12.65% (previous year 12.75%).
The average cost of total borrowings experienced during the year was 9.24% per annum (previous year 9.57%).
As company gathers scale the operating expense are going down….
RoE is not the right number as NBFCs are hugely leveraged however ROA has been excellent and steady …
Industry commentary
Few excerpts on industry commentary, see my emphasis on affordable housing
Overall market size for home mortgage finance INR 9 lac crore
So a long run way for GRUH
Demand for new residential properties is very sluggish and property valuations have increased. The market scenario has become much more discouraging and it is expected that the scenario might not change for a further period of 12 to 15 months.[ However, in line with the Central Government’s Housing for all – 2022 programme, various State Governments have taken up housing projects in the affordable segment through their agencies viz. Municipal Corporations, Housing Boards, Development Authorities or through specialised agencies set up for the purpose]. GRUH is working with these agencies and lending to beneficiaries who are in the EWS and LIG segment. GRUH has been trying to minimise the risk while lending to these segments as much as possible by entering into Tripartiate agreements wherein the government agencies are a party
Net profit is understated
During the year, the regulator for Housing Finance Companies (HFC)- National Housing Bank (NHB) stipulated that HFCs are required to create Deferred Tax Liability in respect of Special Reserve being created by HFCs. As a result, the reported Profit After Tax (PAT) gets adversely impacted. GRUH is of the opinion that generally HFCs would not be required to utilise Special Reserve since specific provisions towards Standard Loan Assets and Non-Performing Loans are being made. Hence, in all probabilities, such creation of Deferred Tax Liability will not get crystallized in the long term period PAT due to such accounting entry
See below accounting entry as part owners we should ignore these adjustment entries
Profit After Tax before impact of DTL on Special Reserve grew by 26% as against 21% in the previous year, however the reported number due to adjustment was 15% a whopping 9% difference due an accounting entry
Other important points
Stocks options are granted this year at the rate of INR 268/Share to employees as expected there was less than 1% dilution of equity
No Major related party transactions
Almost negligible contingent liability on books
Lastly see how EV multiple has kept on increasing through years
That’s it from me today, I will continue to write these reviews for model portfolio companies and few other businesses I like
print a PDF( Gruh -Annual review - 2015) keep these for your future reference
Share your thoughts below and how we can improve these posts in future or a company you like to get reviewed